First let’s start with a few tidbits that do not seem to have a reason in this posting. But, these same tidbits will come back in future postings as their influences progresses in our economy.
Everyone seems to be welcoming the newly proposed flexibility of China’s Yuan exchange rate. This will help lessen trade barriers with China. At this point it is unknown whether this new flexibility will make the Yuan weaker or stronger than the US dollar; stronger is what Washington wants.
With May housing starts home building plunges but this is to be expected with the current housing glut. With fewer new constructions starting this would help balance the current glut instead of making an even bigger issue of empty properties. On the upside, there has been a rise in mortgage purchase applications last week, although it is too early to really tell the future impact.
The feds may keep interest rates low. With the interest rates low more people will be able to qualify to purchase houses, even when the new reform bill passes the House and Senate. Although it will be harder to acquire large lines of credit, the overall future impact will make it better for the economy.
One of the factors causing our current housing issues was caused by the average homeowner receiving interest only loans. Interest only loans were for investors when they wanted to only hold a property for three to five years. The loan was not suitable for families to purchase their dream home, because the reset of the mortgage payment would be greater than income, or they would not be able to keep up with the payments if the debts were too great.
The pace of the recovery may not be as fast as we all may have wanted, but slow and steady is better than fast as a rocket. A rocket recovery would be unstable, going up fast and strong and plummeting faster and even stronger which in the short term would and only cause more problems such as a stock market crash.
A slow steady recovery will be a lasting solution to our current down economy. While our economy is in a stabilization phase tangible assets are more attractive to investors.
Gold at this time is one of the most attractive tangible assets, but real estate should also be considered.
Why should real estate be considered if there is a current housing glut?
If nothing else time has proven real estate to be one of the best appreciating assets. A down market is truly a buyers market; more houses are going into foreclosure, along with commercial properties, many of which are positive income producing commercial properties.
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